Multi-Objective Optimization of the Reservoir System Operation by Using the Hedging Policy

Abstract

In the present study the WEAP-NSGA-II coupling model was developed in order to apply the hedging policy in a two-reservoir system, including Gavoshan and Shohada dams, located in the west of Iran. For this purpose after adjusting the input files of WEAP model, it was calibrated and verified for a statistical period of 4 and 2 years respectively (2008 till 2013). Then periods of water shortage were simulated for the next 20 years by defining a reference scenario and applying the operation policy based on the current situation. Finally, the water released from reservoirs was optimized based on the hedging policy and was compared with the reference scenario in coupled models. To ensure the superiority of the proposed method, its results was compared with the results of two well-known multi-objective algorithms called PESA-II and SPEA-II. Results show that NSGA-II algorithm is able to generate a better Pareto front in terms of minimizing the objective functions in compare with PESA-II and SPEA-II algorithms. An improvement of about 20% in the demand site coverage reliability of the optimum scenario was obtained in comparison with the reference scenario for the months with a higher water shortage. In addition, considering the hedging policy, the demand site coverage in the critical months increased about 35% in compared with the reference scenario.