Abstract
This study analyzes future change of averaged coastal physics such as sea level rises, sea surface winds and ocean wave heights based on the climate data set combining IPCC(2007) results and the latest MRI high-resolution AGCM results. The ocean wave height is statistically projected using an empirical formula with sea surface wind by multi-model ensemble. The ensemble means and their standard deviations of coastal forces are presented for the year 2000 to 2100. The signal of future change of Hs has stripped pattern in latitudinal direction and is clearer in the Southern Hemisphere than the Northern Hemisphere. The ratio of future change of $H_s$ to the present climate is 15% maximumly which is significant change than sea surface pressure and U10.
Highlights
Ð×Ó ÑÔÓÖØ ÒØ ØÓ ÙÒ Ö×Ø Ò ÐÓÒ 1Ø ÖÑ Ò × Ó Ó ×Ø Ð ÒÚ ÖÓÒÑ ÒØo Ì Ö Ö × Ú Ö Ð ÔÔÖÓ × ØÓ ×Ø Ñ Ø Ø × ØÖ Ò × Ò Ú Ö Ð ØÝo ÓÖ Ü ÑÔÐ Ø ÜØÖ Ñ Û Ú × Ò ×ØÓÖÑ ×ÙÖ × Ù ØÓ ØÖÓÔ Ð Ý ÐÓÒ Ò ÜØÖ 1ØÖÓÔ Ð Ý ÐÓÒ Ö ÐÓÛ Ö ÕÙ Ò Ý Ú ÒØ×o Ì Ö ÓÖ Ø × Æ ÙÐØ ØÓ ÔÖÓ Ø Ø Ö ÙØÙÖ
« Ö Ò × Ù× Ó ÓØ Ö ÔÖ ØÓÖ× ×Ù × ËÄÈ Ò ÆË ÄÈ ÓÖ À× ×Ø Ñ Ø ÓÒo ÓÖ Ü ÑÔÐ Ø ×ÓÐÙØ ÖÖÓÖ
ÙÖ ÒÒÙ Ð Ò Ó À× ÓÖ Ý Ö 3⁄41⁄41⁄41⁄4 ØÓ 3⁄41⁄21⁄41⁄4 ËÊ Ë 1⁄2 ́Ø Ò Ð Ò × ÒÚÙÐÅ× ̧ Ø ×ÓÐ
Summary
Ê × Ö ÓÒ ÐÓ ÐÐÑØÒÙ ØÓ Ò Ò Ö Ò ÓÙ× « Ø× ÓÒ Ø ÖØ 3× ÒÚ ÖÓÒÑ ÒØ × Ò Ò ÓÙÖ ÙÒ Ö×ØÒÒÓØ × Ô ÒÓÑ Ò ØÓ ÐÐÓÛ ÓÖ ×× ××Ñ ÒØ Ñ Ø Ø ÓÒ Ò ÔØ Ø ÓÒ ×ØÖ Ø × ÓÖ Ø ÙØÙÖ Ú ÐÓÔÑ ÒØ Ó ÙÑ Ò ×Ó ØÝo ÖÓÑ Ø Ý Ö 1⁄2 1⁄4 ØÓ 3⁄41⁄41⁄4 ̧ Ø × 1Ð Ú Ð × Ö × ÒØÖØÓ 1⁄2o ÑÑ ¦ 1⁄4o¿ ÑÑ»ÝÖ Û Ø × Ò ¢ ÒØ Ò Ö × Ò Ø Ö Ø ÙÖ Ò Ø Ð ×ØØÒÝÖ× ́ ÙÖ Ò Ï Ø 3⁄41⁄41⁄4 ÙÖ Ø Ðo 3⁄41⁄41⁄21⁄2μo Ì Ñ ÓÖ ×ÓÙÖ Ó × 1Ð Ú Ð Ö × × Ø ÖÑ Ð ÜÔ Ò× ÓÒ Ó × Û Ø Ö Ù ØÓ Ò Ò Ö × Ò Ø ÑÔ Ö ØÙÖ Ó Ó Ò ÙÔÔ Ö Ð Ý Ö Ø Ù× × 1Ð Ú Ð Ö × × ×Ø Ø ÓÖ ÐÓÒ 1Ø ÖÑ × ××ÙÓÐÑØÒÒ£Ù Ò Ò Ó ×Ø Ð Ò ÙÔÔ Ö Ó Ò Ö ÓÒ×o Ë 1Ð Ú Ð Ö × Ö ØÐÝ ÑÔ Ø× ÙÑ Ò Ø Ú ØÝ Ò Ö Ø Ó ×Ø Ð ÞÓÒ ÁÈ ÓÙÖØ ×× ××Ñ ÒØ Ê ÔÓÖØÁÈ 1 Ê 3⁄41⁄41⁄4 μ Ò × ÑÔÐÝ Ü1. Ö ØÐÝo Ì ÙÒ ÖØ ÒØÝ Ó ÙØÙÖ Ò Ò ÐÓ Ð ØÝ × ÓÙÐ ÓÒ× Ö ÙØ Ø Ö × Û Ò Ö Ð × Ù×1 × ÓÒ Ò Ø × ÓÖ Ö ÓÒ Ð Ò Ó Ó ×Ø Ð Ô Ý× × ×Ù × × Ð Ú Ð Ö × × ̧ Û Ú Ø× Ò ÜØÖ Ñ × Ð Ú Ð× ́ ÒÓØ × Ó ×Ø Ð Ô Ý× × Ö Ø Ö ÓÖ × ÑÔÐ ØÝμ ÖÓÑ ÔÖ × ÒØ ØÓ ÙØÙÖ o Ì Ö ÓÖ Ø × ÑÔÓÖØ ÒØ ØÓ ÒÓÛ Ø ÙÒ Ñ ÒØ Ð Ö Ø Ö ×Ø × Ó ÙØÙÖ Ò Ó Ó ×Ø Ð Ô Ý× × ÓÖ Ò Ò Ö Ò ÔÔÐ Ø ÓÒ×o ÀÓÛ Ú Ö Ö Ø Ö ×Ø × Ó ×ÔØÐÒØ ÑÔÓÖ Ð Ò × Ó Ó ×Ø Ð Ô Ý× × Ô Ò ÓÒ ÔÖÓ Ø ÓÒ Ñ Ø Ó × ̧. Ð Ö Ø ÓÒ «ÈÅ 1⁄2 ¢ 1⁄21⁄4 ¿ Ò ¬ÈÅ 1⁄4 Ø ÓÒ×Ø ÒØ× ̧ Ö ×Ô Ø Ú ÐÝo Ì Ô Ò ÙÐ Ö Ö ÕÙ Ò Ý Ó ÈÅ
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
