Multimodal risk prediction with physiological signals, medical images and clinical notes

Abstract

The broad adoption of electronic health record (EHR) systems brings us a tremendous amount of clinical data and thus provides opportunities to conduct data-based healthcare research to solve various clinical problems in the medical domain. Machine learning and deep learning methods are widely used in the medical informatics and healthcare domain due to their power to mine insights from raw data. When adapting deep learning models for EHR data, it is essential to consider its heterogeneous nature: EHR contains patient records from various sources including medical tests (e.g. blood test, microbiology test), medical imaging, diagnosis, medications, procedures, clinical notes, etc. Those modalities together provide a holistic view of patient health status and complement each other. Therefore, combining data from multiple modalities that are intrinsically different is challenging but intuitively promising in deep learning for EHR. To assess the expectations of multimodal data, we introduce a comprehensive fusion framework designed to integrate temporal variables, medical images, and clinical notes in EHR for enhanced performance in clinical risk prediction. Early, joint, and late fusion strategies are employed to combine data from various modalities effectively. We test the model with three predictive tasks: in-hospital mortality, long length of stay, and 30-day readmission. Experimental results show that multimodal models outperform uni-modal models in the tasks involved. Additionally, by training models with different input modality combinations, we calculate the Shapley value for each modality to quantify their contribution to multimodal performance. It is shown that temporal variables tend to be more helpful than CXR images and clinical notes in the three explored predictive tasks.