Abstract

Uncertainties are widespread in real-world situations. In the existing studies, the uncertainties expressed by the agents engaged in a conflict situation have been extensively investigated. However, to what extent these agents can be trusted is often ignored and seldom taken into account. In this article, to manage these two sides of uncertainties, we propose a mathematical framework for multilevel conflict analysis from an outsider's perspective. Concretely, in order to indicate the analysis levels and manage the conflict situation with an extent-intent view, we resort to fuzzy formal concept analysis. At first, we explain what is multilevel data analysis. After that, based on fuzzy concept lattices, we present a general framework for multilevel conflict analysis and a method for computing the maximal coalitions and minimum conflict sets. And then, we describe how to update conflict analysis results when increasing analysis levels. Experimental analysis demonstrates that managing two sides of uncertainties can bring much more conflict resolution, and increasing analysis levels is helpful for postponing decision making and bringing more economical conflict resolutions. Finally, case studies are made to show the application of multilevel conflict analysis model and some interesting findings are obtained. Specifically, once the cost of increasing analysis levels is taken into consideration, it is interesting to choose the optimal analysis level for making the most economic decision. The main contribution of this study is the model of multilevel conflict analysis based on fuzzy concept lattices, which can incorporate the uncertainties of two sides.

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