Abstract

The process of selecting students likely to complete science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) doctoral programs has not changed greatly over the last few decades and still relies heavily on Graduate Record Examination (GRE) scores in most U.S. universities. It has been long debated whether the GRE is an appropriate selection tool and whether overreliance on GRE scores may compromise admission of students historically underrepresented in STEM. Despite many concerns about the test, there are few studies examining the efficacy of the GRE in predicting PhD completion and even fewer examining this question in STEM fields. For the present study, we took advantage of a long-lived collaboration among institutions in the Northeast Alliance for Graduate Education and the Professoriate (NEAGEP) to gather comparable data on GRE scores and PhD completion for 1805 U.S./Permanent Resident STEM doctoral students in four state flagship institutions. We found that GRE Verbal (GRE V) and GRE Quantitative (GRE Q) scores were similar for women who completed STEM PhD degrees and those who left programs. Remarkably, GRE scores were significantly higher for men who left than counterparts who completed STEM PhD degrees. In fact, men in the lower quartiles of GRE V or Q scores finished degrees more often than those in the highest quartile. This pattern held for each of the four institutions in the study and for the cohort of male engineering students across institutions. GRE scores also failed to predict time to degree or to identify students who would leave during the first year of their programs. Our results suggests that GRE scores are not an effective tool for identifying students who will be successful in completing STEM doctoral programs. Considering the high cost of attrition from PhD programs and its impact on future leadership for the U.S. STEM workforce, we suggest that it is time to develop more effective and inclusive admissions strategies.

Highlights

  • Advances in science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) fields drive innovation and economic progress in the U.S and globally

  • There were no significant differences in Graduate Record Examination (GRE) V scores between men and women in any institution, but there was a significant gender effect in GRE Quantitative (GRE Q) scores that was examined using Tukey’s multiple comparison test post hoc

  • Our findings provide strong evidence that GRE scores are not predictive of STEM doctoral degree completion for U.S and Permanent Resident students

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Summary

Introduction

Technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) fields drive innovation and economic progress in the U.S and globally. Didactic classroom learning and individual project completion are being replaced with problem-based learning and collaborative, interdisciplinary research [3,4,5] During this evolution in STEM training, the graduate admissions process has not changed correspondingly. The GRE does not measure creativity, problem-solving abilities or other characteristics viewed as important for success in graduate school [9,10,11] Another consideration is that GRE scores are generally lower for women and non-Asian minorities (American Indians, Hawaiian/Pacific Islanders, Black/African Americans, Mexican American, Puerto Ricans and other Hispanics) [12], groups currently earning the fewest STEM doctorates [13]. Relying on GRE scores to select students can limit diversity in STEM doctoral programs [16, 17] and could result in a shortage of STEM leaders in the future

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