Abstract
We consider the structure functions S(q)(τ), i.e. the moments of order q of the increments X(t + τ)-X(t) of the Foreign Exchange rate X(t) which give clear evidence of scaling (S(q)(τ)∝τζ(q)). We demonstrate that the nonlinearity of the observed scaling exponent ζ(q) is incompatible with monofractal additive stochastic models usually introduced in finance: Brownian motion, Lévy processes and their truncated versions. This nonlinearity correspond to multifractal intermittency yielded by multiplicative processes. The non-analyticity of ζ(q) corresponds to universal multifractals, which are furthermore able to produce "hyperbolic" pdf tails with an exponent qD > 2. We argue that it is necessary to introduce stochastic evolution equations which are compatible with this multifractal behaviour.
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More From: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
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