Abstract

Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (MF-DCCA) was applied to time series of global methane concentrations and remotely-sensed temperature anomalies of the global lower and mid-troposphere, with the purpose of investigating the multifractal characteristics of their cross-correlated time series and examining their interaction in terms of nonlinear analysis. The findings revealed the multifractal nature of the cross-correlated time series and the existence of positive persistence. It was also found that the cross-correlation in the lower troposphere displayed more abundant multifractal characteristics when compared to the mid-troposphere. The source of multifractality in both cases was found to be mainly the dependence of long-range correlations on different fluctuation magnitudes. Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) was also applied to the time series of global methane and global lower and mid-tropospheric temperature anomalies to separately study their multifractal properties. From the results, it was found that the cross-correlated time series exhibit similar multifractal characteristics to the component time series. This could be another sign of the dynamic interaction between the two climate variables.

Highlights

  • Climate change studies depend, to a great extent, on the examination of the relationship between different key components of the climate system

  • Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) is applied on the time series of global methane and global lower troposphere (LT) and MT temperature anomalies and the findings are discussed

  • The time scales used both in the MF-DFA and Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (MF-DCCA) range between 30 months (s ≈ 101.5) and N/5, i.e., 84 months (s ≈ 101.9), where, by N, the length of the time series is represented

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Summary

Introduction

To a great extent, on the examination of the relationship between different key components of the climate system. The development of a climate data record of suitable length and reliability is required for the reliable detection of changes in the Earth’s atmospheric temperature [8]. In this respect, microwave soundings from space have proven successful in providing long-term temperature observations of the Earth’s atmosphere. The MSU/AMSU microwave sounders are cross-scanning instruments onboard polar-orbiting weather satellites measuring the profile of temperature throughout the Earth’s atmosphere. Satellite observations of temperature at different levels of the Earth’s atmosphere are considered to be a valuable tool in climate change studies, since they provide high-resolution measurements with global coverage over a multidecadal time period [9]

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