Multicentre match-paired analysis of advanced biliary cancer long-term survivors: The BILONG study

Abstract

BackgroundAdvanced biliary cancers (ABC) are aggressive malignancies with a median overall survival (mOS) <12 months when treated with first-line chemotherapy. Nevertheless, a subset of patients experiencing longer survival has been described in the updated analysis of ABC-02 trial. We aimed to provide a real-world description of ABC long-term survivors (LS), identifying which factors impact on survival. MethodsPatients diagnosed with ABC at three Institutions between 2002 and 2019, and who survived ≥18 months, were retrospectively identified. We compared them with a control cohort (C) with a mOS <18 months, matched on age, gender, ECOG PS, disease status, primary tumor site, prior surgery, and treatment modality. Their clinical features, treatments, and outcome were analyzed. ResultsA total of 78 patients was included, 39 in each group. Both LS and C cohorts had superimposable baseline characteristics, without significant differences. mOS was 29 (95%CI 24.6–33.5) and 9 months (95%CI 6.6–12.9) in the two groups, respectively. After performing a logistic regression analysis, three factors were significantly associated with long-term outcome: low neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR < 3) (Odds Ratio [OR] 0.38), achievement of objective response to treatment (OR 0.16), and the number of lines received (OR 0.29). ConclusionsWe described a considerable subset of ABC experiencing long-term survival with conventional chemotherapy in a real-world scenario. Beyond clinical factors, we identified low NLR as a prognostic determinant that may allow for a more accurate selection of long survivors. While waiting for a deeper molecular characterization of this subgroup, we propose NLR as a stratification factor for daily practice and clinical trials.