Multi-Temporal and Time-Lag Responses of Terrestrial Net Ecosystem Productivity to Extreme Climate from 1981 to 2019 in China

Abstract

The escalating frequency and severity of extreme climate greatly impact the carbon dynamics of terrestrial ecosystems worldwide. To understand the multi-temporal response of net ecosystem productivity (NEP) to extreme climate, we investigated 11 temperature and precipitation extreme indices across different vegetation types in China. From 1981 to 2019, the results showed that NEP in China increased at a rate of 0.64 g·m−2·a−2. Extreme climate demonstrated a significant warming trend and a non-significant moistening trend; specifically, maximum daily minimum temperature (TNx) exhibited a significant increase at a rate of 0.34 °C/10 a, while maximum 5-day precipitation (Rx5day) showed an insignificant increase at a rate of 1.78 mm/10 a. NEP was significantly impacted by extreme temperature at the annual, seasonal, and monthly scales, but moderately impacted by extreme precipitation. Specifically, extreme temperature had the most significant effect on grassland, with minimal influence on cropland. In contrast, extreme precipitation had the most significant effect on forest, with minimal impact on cropland. Moreover, the lagged time for extreme precipitation was longer than that for extreme temperature. Extreme precipitation exhibited a corresponding lagged time of at least 2 months (p < 0.01), while extreme temperature exhibited a lagged time of at least 1 month (p < 0.01). The maximum lag time observed was 4 months (p < 0.01). Our findings provide valuable insights into the multi-temporal response of NEP to extreme climate in China and inform sustainable development practices in the region.