Multi-Task Learning and Temporal-Fusion-Transformer-Based Forecasting of Building Power Consumption

Abstract

Improving the accuracy of the forecasting of building power consumption is helpful in reducing commercial expenses and carbon emissions. However, challenges such as the shortage of training data and the absence of efficient models are the main obstacles in this field. To address these issues, this work introduces a model named MTLTFT, combining multi-task learning (MTL) with the temporal fusion transformer (TFT). The MTL approach is utilized to maximize the effectiveness of the limited data by introducing multiple related forecasting tasks. This method enhances the learning process by enabling the model to learn shared representations across different tasks, although the physical number of data remains unchanged. The TFT component, which is optimized for feature learning, is integrated to further improve the model’s performance. Based on a dataset from a large exposition building in Hangzhou, we conducted several forecasting experiments. The results demonstrate that MTLTFT outperforms most baseline methods (such as LSTM, GRU, N-HiTS) in terms of Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), suggesting that MTLTFT is a promising approach for the forecasting of building power consumption and other similar tasks.