Multi-source data fusion for economic data analysis

Abstract

Economic data include data of various types and characteristics such as macro-data, meso-data, and micro-data. The source of economic data can be the data related to economy held by the National Bureau of statistics and a various software. These multi-source and heterogeneous data have important value for economic analysis and forecasting. Taking into account the limitations of existing methods such as low accuracy and complex calculations, this paper proposes an economic data analysis and prediction method based on machine learning. We use machine learning to solve the data fusion problem in the process of multi-source data analysis and prediction in the economic field. Specifically, we proposes an economic data analysis and forecasting method combining convolutional auto-encoder and extreme gradient boosting algorithms. This method uses a convolutional auto-encoder to extract the data characteristics of the normalized parameter sequence and uses it to train an extreme gradient boosting model to predict the level of economic development and evaluate the importance of each influencing factor. Finally, through a case study, this paper integrates the data of labor force, education and population to forecast GDP. Through the verification of this case, the prediction accuracy of the proposed method is higher than the AE-XGBoost method and CAE-1D-XGBoost method used in this experiment, and the error is kept below 11.7%.