Multi-Scale Integrated Corrosion-Adjusted Seismic Fragility Framework for Critical Infrastructure Resilience

Abstract

This study presents a novel framework for integrating corrosion effects into critical infrastructure seismic risk assessment, focusing on reinforced concrete (RC) structures. Unlike traditional seismic fragility curves, which often overlook time-dependent degradation such as corrosion, this methodology introduces an approach incorporating corrosion-induced degradation into seismic fragility curves. This framework combines time-dependent corrosion simulation with numerical modeling, using the finite–discrete element method (FDEM) to assess the reduction in structural capacity. These results are used to adjust the seismic fragility curves, capturing the increased vulnerability due to corrosion. A key novelty of this work is the development of a comprehensive risk assessment that merges the corrosion-adjusted fragility curves with seismic hazard data to estimate long-term seismic risk, introducing a cumulative risk ratio to quantify the total risk over the structure’s lifecycle. This framework is demonstrated through a case study of a one-story RC moment frame building, evaluating its seismic risk under various corrosion scenarios and locations. The simulation results showed a good fit, with a 3% to 14% difference between the case study and simulations up to 75 years. This fitness highlights the model’s accuracy in predicting structural degradation due to corrosion. Furthermore, the findings reveal a significant increase in seismic risk, particularly in moderate and intensive corrosion environments, by 59% and 100%, respectively. These insights emphasize the critical importance of incorporating corrosion effects into seismic risk assessments, offering a more accurate and effective strategy to enhance infrastructure resilience throughout its lifecycle.