Multi-purpose reservoir operation concomitant with estimating hydropower potential using multifarious hydrological models

Abstract

The research aims at determining the optimal release rule to increase the capacity of Rib reservoir. The reservoir inflow using HBV-light hydrological model embracing optimal reservoir operation through HEC-ResSim model were used to prepare an optimum operational plan. The potential of the river for hydropower generation prioritise the demand at a specified level regarding storage capacity (m3), level of reservoir (m), and the relation between inflow and outflow of the reservoir. From the model performance features, the coefficient of correlation (R2) and Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) were determined to be, respectively, 0.77 and 0.73 for calibration and 0.72 and 0.70 for validation. The Sobol approach was used for detailed sensitivity analysis of DROP model parameters based on the performance of C2M on outflows and volumes. The results suggest that the threshold coefficient characterizing the demand-controlled release level is the most significant parameter. According to the simulation's findings, the reservoir's average regulated release is calculated to be 22.86 m3/s, and its average monthly hydropower output is 6.73 MW. Average annual hydropower energy was estimated as 58.955 GW h/year and mean annual inflow of reservoir volume of water to be 223.54 Mm3. This volume of water is adequate to accommodate total annual irrigation demand, environmental obligation, and other respective requirements in the downstream. The demand for hydropower and irrigation and supply from reservoir capacity can be counterbalanced from the simulated result without any hindrance.