Multi-Point Deformation Prediction Model for Concrete Dams Based on Spatial Feature Vector

Abstract

Deformation can effectively reflect the structural state of concrete dams and, thus, establishing na accurate concrete dam deformation prediction model is important for dam health monitoring and early warning strategies. To address the problem that the spatial coordinates introduced in the traditional multi-point deformation prediction model of dams not being able to accurately and efficiently reflect the spatial correlation of multiple-measuring points, a 2D-1D-CNN model is proposed which expresses the spatial correlation between each measuring point through spatial feature vectors, replacing the spatial coordinates in the traditional multi-point model. First, the spatial feature vector is extracted from the historical spatio-temporal panel series of deformation values of measuring points via a Two-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (2D-CNN); second, the vector is combined with the environmental impact factor of dam deformation to form the final input factor of fused spatial features; and, thirdly, this vector is combined with the environmental impact factors of dam deformation to form the final input factor of fused spatial features, and the non-linear linkage between the factors and the measured displacement values is constructed by the efficient feature processing capability of a One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN) to obtain the prediction results. Finally, the actual monitoring data of a concrete dam in China are used as an example to verify the validity of the model. The results show that the proposed model outperforms the other models in most cases, respectively, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed model in this paper.