Multi-Modal Combined Route Choice Modeling in the MaaS Age Considering Generalized Path Overlapping Problem

Abstract

In the MaaS (Mobility as a Service) age, the alternatives of route choice for a trip will not be the single mode paths, but the combined routes utilizing more than one travel mode in the multi-modal transportation systems. When modeling the multi-modal combined route choices, alternative routes are correlated not only because of the overlapping of physical links, but also because of the overlapping of travel modes. We define this problem as the generalized path overlapping problem. To address the generalized overlapping problem, a multi-modal logit kernel (MLK) model is proposed to explicitly consider the correlations of unobserved utilities of combined routes. In this model, the unobserved utilities of combined routes are divided to two parts, the link specific parts and the independent route specific parts. The link specific parts are further divided to two parts: physical link specific and the mode specific. The generalized path overlapping problem is captured by the sharing of these two parts of unobserved link utilities. Based on this model, the stochastic user equilibrium on multi-model transport networks is represented as a fixed-point problem. Numerical studies are designed to illustrate the effects of incorporating generalized overlapping problem on disaggregated route choice prediction and aggregated traffic flow assignment. With different settings of physical link and mode specific error terms, the variations of disaggregated route choice predictions and aggregated traffic flows are discussed. It is found that, the generalized overlapping problem can be captured by the proposed model and significantly affect both the individual route choice predictions and aggregated traffic flows at equilibrium.