Multi-metric evaluation of the optimal intensity measure for mainshock-aftershock fragility analysis of transmission towers

Abstract

Identifying the optimal intensity measure (IM) contributes to reducing uncertainties in probabilistic seismic demand models (PSDM) and enhancing confidence of their results. Although many studies have discussed appropriate IMs for mainshocks, relatively less attention is paid to the potential aftershock effect. In particularly, the optimal IMs for developing PSDM of transmission towers subjected to sequential earthquakes has not been well studied previously. Therefore, this paper conducts a multi-metric evaluation to identify the optimal IM in the context of mainshock-aftershock (MSAS) fragility analysis of transmission towers. This evaluation process includes collecting a set of ground motions recorded with varying magnitudes and fault distances to construct MSAS sequences, followed by comprehensive discussions on their seismic characteristics by comparing thirty-six potential IMs candidates. Additionally, a finite element model of a transmission tower is established to numerically investigate different engineering demand parameters (EDP) of the tower under the selected MSAS sequences. The optimal PSDM of the transmission tower is determined by evaluating each couple of IM−EDP on a logarithmic space using multiple evaluation metrics. Through this analysis, the first-mode spectral acceleration Sa(T1,ξ) is identified as the optimal IM as it exhibits excellent correlation, efficiency, practicality and proficiency with the EDPs of the transmission tower, especially with the inter-segment displacement ratio. Consequently, seismic fragility curves of the transmission tower are developed using the optimal IM. The research outcome can contribute to improving the understanding of the probabilistic assessment of transmission towers in the MSAS scenario.