Abstract

The present study aims to add to the literature on driver workload prediction using machine learning methods. The main aim is to develop workload prediction on a multi-level basis, rather than a binary high/low distinction as often found in literature. The presented approach relies on measures that can be obtained unobtrusively in the driving environment with off-the-shelf sensors, and on machine learning methods that can be implemented in low-power embedded systems. Two simulator studies were performed, one inducing workload using realistic driving conditions, and one inducing workload with a relatively demanding lane-keeping task. Individual and group-based machine learning models were trained on both datasets and evaluated. For the group-based models the generalizing capability, that is the performance when predicting data from previously unseen individuals, was also assessed. Results show that multi-level workload prediction on the individual and group level works well, achieving high correct rates and accuracy scores. Generalizing between individuals proved difficult using realistic driving conditions but worked well in the highly demanding lane-keeping task. Reasons for this discrepancy are discussed as well as future research directions.

Highlights

  • The present study aims to add to the literature on driver workload prediction using machine learning methods

  • The present study aims to fill the gaps in the existing research on predicting driver workload using machine learning (ML) methods in several ways, as will be explained in the paragraphs

  • A more fine-grained prediction of workload may be desirable to enable adaptive interfaces for in-vehicle advice systems (IVIS), systems that may simplify their content [8], or driver assistance systems that may incrementally increase their level of support based on the level of driver workload

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Summary

Methods

Figure showing (a) the simulator setup, (b) physiological sensors, (c) the merging of a platoon of trucks in dense fog, (d) the accident site at the end of the ‘‘high workload’’ scenario, (e) examples of the raw signal data, (f) the concepts of window size and overlap factor, and (g) an example of the facial landmark detection and the resulting process of analysing the blink rate signal. In the ‘‘high workload’’ scenario, participants were asked to rate their experienced mental effort and task difficulty on a seven-point scale after each event, leading to six workload data points per run. Because querying the driver might influence workload, the ‘‘high workload’’ scenario was constructed in such a way that there was at least 1 min of driving between each two events, to allow signals to return to baseline. Performance for class-based predictions was evaluated, expressed as correct rate

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