Multi-Fidelity Simulation Modeling for Discrete Event Simulation: An Optimization Perspective

Abstract

Multi-fidelity simulation is an effective approach to balancing speed and accuracy in expensive simulation, and its performance is affected by the quality of multi-fidelity simulation models. Building high-quality simulation models is non-trivial, especially for complex systems, because current manual modeling methods require sufficient domain knowledge and experience, increasing the labor and time costs. Motivated by the issues, this paper focuses on one of the most crucial simulation types, discrete event simulation, and develops a computer-aid multi-fidelity simulation modeling method called Optimization-based Multi-fidelity Simulation Modeling (OMFSM). OMFSM formulates multi-fidelity simulation modeling as a bi-objective simulation optimization problem to optimize speed and accuracy. An efficient optimization algorithm called Multi-objective Simulation Optimization based on Hypervolume (MOSO-HV) is tailored to select a set of high-quality models. Experimental results in a digital twin emergency department demonstrate that the computer-aid modeling method builds more and better multi-fidelity simulation models than manual modeling and reveal the effectiveness of MOSO-HV for OMFSM. The utility of OMFSM in multi-fidelity simulation is also justified by a real-world optimization problem. Note to Practitioners—Multi-fidelity simulation is an essential technique to fulfill the demand for accuracy analysis and quick decision-making in Industrial 4.0, such as digital twins and virtual reality. The quality of multi-fidelity simulation models significantly influences the performance of multi-fidelity simulation. Developers currently build multi-fidelity simulation models manually, and their experience determines the model’s quality. To reduce the labor and time costs in constructing high-quality multi-fidelity simulation models, we propose a computer-aid method named OMFSM from optimization for the first time. Experiments on a real case prove that OMFSM lightens the burden of manual modeling and provides more and better models for multi-fidelity simulation.