Abstract

To determine which outcome measures could detect early progression of disease in school-age children with mild cystic fibrosis (CF) lung disease over a two-year time interval utilizing chest computed tomography (CT) scores, quantitative CT air trapping (QAT), and spirometric measurements. Thirty-six school-age children with mild CF lung disease (median [interquartile range] age 12 [3.7] years; percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second (ppFEV1 ) 99 [12.5]) were evaluated by serial spirometer-controlled chest CT scans and spirometry at baseline, 3-month, 1- and 2-years. No significant changes were noted at 3-month for any variable except for decreased ppFEV1 . Mucus plugging score (MPS) and QATA1andA2 increased at 1- and 2-years. The bronchiectasis score (BS), and total score (TS) were increased at 2-year. All variables tested with the exception of bronchial wall thickness score, parenchymal score (PS), and ppFEV1 , were consistent with longitudinal worsening of lung disease. Multivariate analysis revealed baseline PS, baseline TS, and 1-year changes in BS and air trapping score were predictive of 2-year changes in BS. MPS and QATA1-A2 were the most sensitive indicators of progressive childhood CF lung disease. The 1-year change in the bronchiectasis score had the most positive predictive power for 2-year change in bronchiectasis.

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