Abstract

Seasonality is a characteristic of a time series in which data is subjected to regular and predictable variations that repeat on each period. On the other hand, the price series jointly include the conjunctural evolution in the mid-and-long term, as well as seasonal variations. To measure these seasonal variations, seasonality indexes are constructed. In this analysis, a summary of the estimated monthly seasonality is obtained, based on the historical series of prices of the main import and export products. The objective of this research is to identify the most feasible months to export or import products, based on the international market prices. The main tool used for the estimation was the statistical package EViews 9 for Microsoft Windows.

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