MT-Keyboard: A Bayesian Model-Assisted Interval Design to Account for Toxicity Grades and Types for Phase I Trials

Abstract

Conventionally, dose finding trials are based on dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) that only captures the most severe toxicities, for example, treatment related grade 3 or higher toxicity according to the NCI Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events. However, this approach is often problematic for certain novel targeted therapies and immunotherapies, which may not induce DLT within a clinically active dose range and are often characterized by low grade toxicities. This important issue has been highlighted and discussed in the American Statistical Association (ASA) Biopharmaceutical (BIOP) Section Open Forums, and is also an important consideration of the Project Optimus initiated by FDA to “reform the dose optimization and dose selection paradigm in oncology drug development.” In this article, we propose an easy-to-implement model-assisted Bayesian design, known as multiple toxicity keyboard (MT-Keyboard) design, to incorporate toxicity grades and types into dose finding. The MT-Keyboard design is able to accommodate binary, quasi-binary and continuous toxicity endpoints that are constructed to account for toxicity grades and types. We further extend the MT-Keyboard design, referred to as TITE-MT-Keyboard, to accommodate late-onset toxicity using the approximated likelihood approach. Simulation shows that the MT-Keyboard and TITE-MT-Keyboard designs have desirable operating characteristics, comparable to or better than some existing designs. A web-based software to implement the design will be freely available at www.trialdesign.org. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.