Abstract

ObjectivesTo investigate the prognostic role of radiomic features based on pretreatment MRI in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) of locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC).MethodsAll 181 women with histologically confirmed LACC were randomly divided into the training cohort (n = 126) and the validation cohort (n = 55). For each patient, we extracted radiomic features from whole tumors on sagittal T2WI and axial DWI. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm combined with the Cox survival analysis was applied to select features and construct a radiomic score (Rad-score) model. The cutoff value of the Rad-score was used to divide the patients into high- and low-risk groups by the X-tile. Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank test were used to assess the prognostic value of the Rad-score. In addition, we totally developed three models, the clinical model, the Rad-score, and the combined nomogram.ResultsThe Rad-score demonstrated good performance in stratifying patients into high- and low-risk groups of progression in the training (HR = 3.279, 95% CI: 2.865–3.693, p < 0.0001) and validation cohorts (HR = 2.247, 95% CI: 1.735–2.759, p < 0.0001). Otherwise, the combined nomogram, integrating the Rad-score and patient’s age, hemoglobin, white blood cell, and lymph vascular space invasion, demonstrated prominent discrimination, yielding an AUC of 0.879 (95% CI, 0.811–0.947) in the training cohort and 0.820 (95% CI, 0.668–0.971) in the validation cohort. The Delong test verified that the combined nomogram showed better performance in estimating PFS than the clinical model and Rad-score in the training cohort (p = 0.038, p = 0.043).ConclusionThe radiomics nomogram performed well in individualized PFS estimation for the patients with LACC, which might guide individual treatment decisions.

Highlights

  • Cervical cancer is one of the most common cancer in women worldwide and an important cause of cancer-related death among women [1]

  • To investigate the prognostic role of radiomic features based on pretreatment magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) of locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC)

  • The combined nomogram, integrating the Rad-score and patient’s age, hemoglobin, white blood cell, and lymph vascular space invasion, demonstrated prominent discrimination, yielding an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.879 in the training cohort and 0.820 in the validation cohort

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Summary

Introduction

Cervical cancer is one of the most common cancer in women worldwide and an important cause of cancer-related death among women [1]. In developing countries, screening has not yet been fully universal, and the incidence and mortality of cervical cancer are still on the rise. In China, most cervical cancer patients are at advanced stages when diagnosed [2]. Radical hysterectomy or concurrent chemoradiotherapy is the standard treatment protocol for locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) [3]. Recurrence or metastasis frequently occurred in these patients, with only 50% ~60% 5-year survival rate. Thence, pretreatment prediction for the high-risk recurrence or distant metastasis is important for the development of individualized treatment protocols

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