Abstract

Moving the mean with feedback: insights from behavioural science.

Highlights

  • Kahneman saw a teaching opportunity. He drew a chalk target on the floor, had the officers turn their backs to the target and try to hit the target with two successive no-look coin throws. Those familiar with regression to the mean can guess what happened: officers who were far from the target on their first throw generally improved on the second throw; officers who were close to the target on their first throw generally did worse on their second throw

  • My primary care group received feedback about our ordering of high-cost imaging for low-back pain. Such feedback might change the behaviour of doctors who order too many high-cost imaging tests, it can result in a ‘boomerang effect’ among doctors who order very few.[2]

  • The intervention consisted of advice in the family physicians’ electronic prescribing system, communication skills training and, 3 months after the communication skills training, a one-time feedback session about the group’s antibiotic prescribing rate. Antibiotic prescribing in both the control and intervention groups decreased, and there was no overall effect of the intervention

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Summary

Introduction

My primary care group received feedback about our ordering of high-cost imaging for low-back pain. This may be part of the reason that feedback has not been shown to be effective in reducing imaging for low-back pain.[3] Variability decreases—poor performers improve and top performers worsen—but the mean does not move.

Results
Conclusion
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