Abstract
Motorcycle bans have been implemented in many cities across China for long time, one of the main reasons for which is the high death rate of the traffic accidents related to motorcycles’ fast speed and weak safety. This study applies a quasi-experiment on whether or not and when motorcycle bans are implemented in the 11 prefecture cities in Zhejiang Province, taking the prefecture-level cities with motorcycle bans as the experimental group and the others as the control group, so as to identify whether such bans can effectively reduce the number of traffic accidents and deaths, as well as the related internal mechanism. This study concludes that the effect of the motorcycle bans on reducing the number of traffic accident deaths is significant, and their impact does not decrease over time due to the diversity of policies. Further, the mechanism analysis shows that the motorcycle bans have not only reduced the number of motorcycles and thus may improve the traffic safety but also diminished the traffic accidents by reducing the fatality rate. Finally, this study proposes to optimize the motorcycle bans by planning special lanes and strengthening motorcycle management.
Highlights
Under a series of traffic safety regulations enacted by the state, the level of road traffic safety has been continuously improved, as shown in the continuous decline of road traffic accidents over recent years
The safety problems caused by motorcycles are on debate frequently since the increasing traffic accidents and high death rates are related to motorcycles. e proportion of motorcycle-related traffic accidents in all traffic accidents had been on the rise until 2000, and the motorcycle-related deaths rate per 100 accidents reached 35 persons in 1996, which is much higher than the average
Motorcycle bans have reduced the deaths of traffic accidents, but not the property loss since the year they were released and the renewal points have no significant effect on traffic safety; as more motorcycles are scrapped mandatorily over time and no new ones are registered, the longer the duration from the implementation of bans, the more they will reduce the deaths of traffic accidents
Summary
Under a series of traffic safety regulations enacted by the state, the level of road traffic safety has been continuously improved, as shown in the continuous decline of road traffic accidents over recent years. Is study intends to use a quasi-natural experiment in Zhejiang Province to discuss their impact on traffic accidents and make an in-depth analysis of its internal mechanism, by taking the 4 prefecture-level cities with motorcycle bans (Hangzhou, Ningbo, Shaoxing, and Wenzhou) as the experimental group and the others as the control group. It may provide a theoretical basis for the formulation of relevant traffic safety laws and regulations in the future
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