Abstract

is expected to continue to decrease. Concurrently, an ever-greater proportion of the population is desirous of receiving dental care and able to finance dental care. The productivity of dentists has increased in recent years as a result of such factors as better equipment and greater use of auxiliary personnel.3 Nevertheless, based on high and low estimates of increases in dental care demands and in dentist productivity by 1980, Cole and Cohen3 estimated that at that time there will be between 9,000 and 38,500 less dentists than needed to cope adequately with dental demand. A nationwide survey in 1967 showed that the percentage of dentists who were too busy to treat all patients (21.7 per cent) somewhat exceeded the percentage who wanted more patients (13.8 per cent).1 The shortage is presently felt in terms of lengthy waiting times for appointments. One critical variable in predicting how acute the shortage of dentists will be is the extent to which dentists will expand

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