Abstract

Motion trajectory prediction is one of the key areas in behaviour and surveillance studies. Many related successful applications have been reported in the literature. However, most of the studiesare based on sigmoidal neural networks in which some dynamic properties of the data are overlooked due to the absence of spatiotemporal encoding functionalities. Even though some sequential (motion) learning studies have been proposed using spatiotemporal neural networks, as in those sigmoidal neural networks, the approach used is mainly supervised learning. In such learning, it requires a target signal, in which this is not always available in some applications. For this study, motion learning using spatiotemporal neural network is proposed. The learning is based onreward-modulated spike-timing-dependent plasticity (STDP), whereby the learning weight adjustment provided by the standard STDP is modulated by the reinforcement. The implementationof reinforcement approach for motion trajectory can be regarded as a major contribution of this study. In this study, learning is implemented on a reward basis without the need for learningtargets. The algorithm has shown good potential in learning motion trajectory particularly in noisy and dynamic settings. Furthermore, the learning uses generic neural network architecture, whichmakes learning adaptable for many applications.

Highlights

  • Tracking objects or people is fundamental and essential in predicting the patterns of trajectory motion for behaviour modelling and surveillance

  • A number of studies have been reported on tracking human motion detection (Kratz & Nishino, 2012), prediction of lane trajectories (Tomar, Verma, & Tomar, 2010), ship trajectory (Xu, Liu, & Yang, 2011), movement of mobile users in cellular communication systems (Bhattacharya & Bhattacharya, 2011; Monreale, Pinelli, Trasarti, & Giannoti, 2009), and tourist movements (Xia, Zeephongsekul, & Packer, 2010)

  • From the experiments conducted with publicly available 60-day long traffic measurements collected in the city of Milan and the Trentino region, it demonstrated that the proposed deep spatio-temporal neural network (D-STN) provided up to 61% lower prediction errors as compared to the widely employed Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) methods

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Summary

Introduction

Tracking objects or people is fundamental and essential in predicting the patterns of trajectory motion for behaviour modelling and surveillance. In most of the motion prediction applications, sigmoidal neural network (NN) with backpropagation (BP) was used to learn behavioural motion patterns. A BP neural network (Rumelhart, Hinton, & Williams, 1986) consists of a set of connected neurons linked in a feedforward manner. Depending on the problem complexity, a network can have more than one hidden layer. Learning is implemented via presenting a network with a set of input values and a target class (i.e. supervised learning), the algorithm updates the weight strength between neurons based on the deviation between the presently produced output and desired output. The activity of a neuron is dependent on the activation function that computes the total weighted input signal based on a threshold value. A neuron will be activated if its activity passes the threshold; otherwise it will be deactivated

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