Mortality Rate in Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Associated with Anti-Thrombotic Therapy Before and During Covid-19 Pandemic

Abstract

During the last few years, a progressive higher proportion of patients have had upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) related to antithrombotic therapy. The introduction of direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) and COVID-19 pandemic may change the incidence, mortality, and follow-up, especially in patients at high risk of bleeding. We studied the use of anti-thrombotic therapy (AT) in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding for 5 years (January 2017-December 2021) including Covid-19 pandemic period (March 2020-December 2021). We analyzed mortality rate, rebleeding rate and need for transfusion in patients with AT therapy compared with those without AT therapy and risk factors for mortality, and also the incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding in patients admitted for COVID-19 infection. A total of 824 patients were admitted during Covid-19 pandemic period and 1631 before pandemic period; a total of 426 cases of bleeding were recorded in patients taking antithrombotic therapy and the frequency of antithrombotic therapy in patients with UGIB was higher in pandemic period (24.39% versus 13.8%). Unadjusted mortality was 12.21%, similar with patients with no antithrombotic treatment but age-adjusted mortality was 9.62% (28% lower). The rate of endoscopy was similar but fewer therapeutic procedures were required. Mean Hb level was 10% lower, and more than 60% of patients required blood transfusion. Mortality was similar compared with patients with no antithrombotic therapy, fewer therapeutic endoscopies were performed and similar rebleeding rate and emergency surgery were noted. Hb level was 10% lower and a higher proportion of patients required blood transfusions. Mortality was higher in DOAC treatment group compared with VKA patients but with no statistical significance. The rate of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in Covid-19 positive hospitalized cases was 0.58%. The mortality risk in multivariate analysis was associated with GB score, with no endoscopy performed, with obscure and variceal bleeding and with LMWH versus VKA therapy.