Abstract
Abstract Sensitivity tests of a mechanistic model of the mean meridional circulation driven by specified eddy forcing are conducted to investigate how the morphology of tropical upwelling in the lower stratosphere is related to the structure of the forcing expected to be associated with the stratospheric surf zone. The basic morphology of tropical upwelling is found to be similar among the mechanistic model forced with reasonable eddy fluxes, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) SKYHI GCM, U.K. Met Office (UKMO) analyses, and other climate models, indicating the robustness of the upwelling features. Atmospheric data are analyzed to characterize the interannual variability of wave drag. The influence of such variations on the interannual variability of tropical upwelling in the lower stratosphere is explored, which may help explain the observed interannual variability of stratospheric water vapor.
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