More severe drought detected by the assimilation of brightness temperature and terrestrial water storage anomalies in Texas during 2010–2013

Abstract

Texas experienced an extreme drought on record in 2011. Model simulations or satellite observations have been used to assess and analyze the drought. In this study, a method based on multi-source remote sensing data assimilation is proposed to evaluate the drought in Texas, which combines the advantages of model simulations and satellite observations. Brightness temperature from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS), the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS/Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR-E/AMSR2) and terrestrial water storage anomalies from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) are assimilated into the Noah-Multiparameterization model (Noah-MP) to improve the soil moisture and drought estimation. The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) was used as a data assimilation method with observation aggregation (dealing with the multi-resolution observations) and observation bias correction (dealing with the systematic bias between observations and simulations). Data from ground stations and satellites are used for the validation of soil moisture, terrestrial water storage anomalies, and evapotranspiration. With assimilation, slight improvement can be found for surface soil moisture over the open-loop configuration, but some notable degradations are also observed. More obvious improvement can be found at deep layers, which is mainly due to the assimilation of terrestrial water storage anomalies. In addition, the improvement for terrestrial water storage anomalies and evapotranspiration is more statistically significant in most regions of Texas. Overall, the assimilation experiment plays a positive role in the estimation of essential variables relate to drought. The drought is estimated using the soil moisture percentile and classified into five categories. The results from the assimilation experiment tend to predict a more severe drought in Texas for both magnitude and spatial patterns, which indicates not only the well-known drought in 2011 but also the continuous severe drought in 2012 and 2013. Moreover, the spatial distribution of drought reveals that drought occurred more frequently in the North, West, and Southwest.