Abstract

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. The Fonds National de la Recherche of Luxembourg provided funds to support the submission of the paper (FNR/11/AM4/55, http://www.fnr.lu). Information on the funding of the study referred to is provided in Sundar et al., CID 2008 Oct 15;47(8):1000-6. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Highlights

  • The need for efficiency is acute in drug development, and in Phase 2 clinical trials, when one will select the drug dose/schedule to be tested at a larger scale in the Phase 3 trials

  • Tuberculosis is in the same league (18 months from treatment start for the initial assessment and another 12 months for final cure), while with ‘‘only’’ 28–63 days of follow-up, malaria is comparatively much better in this sense

  • The reason for such long follow-up times is that patients who initially respond favourably may relapse later, and such cases cannot yet be predicted by the current tests of cure

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Summary

What Would Alternative Study Designs Add?

Adaptive trials designs are increasingly used by pharmaceutical companies to improve efficiencies in the R&D process [1]. There are several ways to specify early termination procedures (for futility), allow repeated analyses to be performed on accumulated data, maintain pre-specified a and b error, or stop the trial as soon as the information is sufficient to reach a conclusion [2] These methods can be grouped as: (i) sequential methods (sequential probability ratio test and triangular test [2,3]) and (ii) group sequential designs (Peto [4], Pocock [5], and O’Brien-Fleming [6] methods; a [7,8] and b [9] spending function; etc.). Following the successful completion of this study in India, DNDi used this design again in a Phase 2 trial of anti-leishmania drug combinations in Africa (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01067443) Using this approach did not result in shortening trial time; the maximum calculated number of patients was to be enrolled as all treatment regimens proved very effective.

What can be done now and with limited resources?
In Summary

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