Abstract
River flow characteristics and computational methods for converting sequences of monthly flows between natural and regulated conditions are explored based on experience in assessing water availability throughout the state of Texas in the United States. Diverse climate, hydrology, economic development, and water management practices across the state combined with continual population growth and implementation of a statewide water availability modeling system makes Texas an excellent case study of stream flow characteristics and modeling and analysis methods that are relevant worldwide. Stream flow is extremely variable, subject to severe multiple-year droughts, intense floods, seasonality, and continuous fluctuation. The effects of population and economic growth, water resources development and management, and climatic variability on river flows vary with different conditions found across the state. The modeling system provides capabilities for adjusting observed river flows to represent natural conditions, simulating regulated flows representing specified conditions of development, and performing statistical frequency and reliability analyses.
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