Abstract

Background and aimsThe role of monocyte lymphocyte ratio (MLR) in predicting the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unclear, although inflammation contributes to the development of CKD. This study aimed to investigate whether elevated MLR predicts new-onset CKD. MethodsThis study enrolled 14,033 consecutively Chinese participants. The primary outcome was the new-onset CKD defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or the presence of proteinuria after follow-up. After the descriptive analyses of baseline data, Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional models were used to evaluate the independent relationship between MLR and new-onset CKD. Results11,280 participants were included in the final analysis, and 58.44% (n = 6592) of them were male. The mean age was 44.67 ± 12.85 years. After a median follow-up of 1.94 years, 2.55% (n = 288) of participants developed new-onset CKD. MLR was associated with the increased risk of CKD (HR = 16.12, 95% CI = 4.52–57.56, p < 0.0001). After adjustment for age, gender, body mass index, history of hypertension, systolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, fasting plasma glucose, uric acid and estimated glomerular filtration rate, MLR remained an independent risk factor for CKD (HR = 8.89, 95%CI = 2.18–36.27, p = 0.0023). ConclusionMLR is an independent predictor of the risk of CKD, which might be expected to better guide early prevention and treatment interventions.

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