Abstract
ABSTRACTKnowledge of pest population dynamics is required to assess the future abundance of a pest, the losses to be expected and the economic threshold. Mortality of pests caused by diseases can greatly influence their development and a valuable assessment can therefore only be based on healthy individuals. Examples of monitoring the health status are usually taken from the forest and from such insects that develop slowly and allow an assessment of the epizootic before the damaging final instar has been reached (caterpillars, sawflies). In agriculture, the tendency of reducing crop rotation increases the permanence of regulative forces and is consequently favourable. This allows for a more precise prediction on the development of epizootics. Recent observations show that appropriate sampling of aphid populations designed to determine their health status in respect to fungal epizootics can greatly increase the accuracy of the forecast on future trends in population dynamics.
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