Monitoring the financial security of the Ukrainian banking sector in the context of system-deterministic challenges

Abstract

The development of the financial market and the transformation of the banking sector create a need for diagnostics of its financial security. This study is aimed at determining the level of the Ukrainian banking sector financial security in the event of decapitalization of the national economy. The paper uses multicomponent and behavioral analysis methods. The empirical study is based on Ukrainian data for 37 indicators by three components (for multicomponent analysis) and 23 indicators (for behavioral analysis). The study presents an improved algorithm for monitoring the level of Ukrainian banking sector’s financial security based on the calculation of the integral indicator. Only the system of “Financial results” indicators as the most significant component has relative independence from the other two components (“Financial stability” and “Macroeconomic stability”). According to assessments, in 2008–2017 Ukrainian banking sector’s financial security was 0,485-0,539; and in 2018 it became 0,626. The behavioral analysis of the partial integral indicator of the “Financial stability” component with the withdrawn assets located in offshore jurisdictions revealed the causal relation of the negative impact of capital outflow on the financial stability of the banking sector. This study has a practical value for determining the level of the banking sector financial security.