Abstract

Objective: To assess the ability of efavirenz plasma concentrations to predict clinical outcomes. Methods: This is a cross-sectional study in people living with HIV on efavirenz antiretroviral therapy. The ROC curve (Receiver Operating Characteristic) analysis was carried out in order to verify the variation in sensitivity and specificity between the efavirenz plasma concentration and the other variables of interest in the study. The study was approved by the Human Research Ethics Committee of the University of São João del-Rei, Central-West Dona Lindu Campus, as per CAAE 41775015.3.0000.5545. Results: Among the 108 patients included in the study, the median age was 54.5 years (IQ25%: 41.0; IQ75%: 63.0). The efavirenz plasma concentration was not able to predict outcomes such as viral suppression (AUC: 0.525; CI95%: 0.334 - 0.716; p = 0.803), immune response (AUC: 0.501; CI95%: 0.390 - 0.612; p = 0.982), presence of adverse events (1 adverse event - AUC: 0.326: CI95%: 0.156 - 0.497; p = 0.103) / ≥ 4 adverse events – AUC = 0.432; CI95%: 0.323 - 0.542; p = 0.232) and adherence (AUC = 0.537; CI95%: 0.423 - 0.651; p = 0.520). Conclusions: More studies are needed to estimate the relationship between clinical outcomes and efavirenz plasma concentrations in current clinical protocols. Therefore, the accumulation of evidence on the subject is essential to identify the feasibility of therapeutic monitoring of antiretrovirals for the purpose of optimizing parameters such as efficacy, safety and adherence.

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