Abstract

The paper considers the problem of monitoring seasonal changes in soil temperature in northern and mountainous areas in the light of ongoing climate changes. To study seasonal changes in soil temperature, a model site of the Moscow State University Meteorological Observatory was used with the ability to monitor air temperature, snow cover thickness, and ground freezing temperature and depth, which was a prototype of a system for monitoring the state of permafrost soils used in the Arctic and mountain territories. The paper presents the results of monitoring seasonal changes in soil temperature based on the results of numerical modeling of the penetration of seasonal fluctuations in soil temperature in 2014-2017 in MATLAB environment at the model site of the MSU Meteorological Observatory. The results of numerical simulation of the penetration of seasonal temperature fluctuations in the ground at the MSU meteorological site in 2014-2017 in the MATLAB environment are in good agreement with the thermometry data and, therefore, the developed calculation scheme shows fairly good simulation results. This makes it possible to use the calculation scheme to assess the thermal state of frozen soils and assess the stability of foundations and buildings and linear structures located on them in the conditions of the North and mountainous territories. Therefore, the presented methodology can serve as a good help for monitoring and preventing the destruction of the studied structures in the conditions of climate warming.

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