Monitoring and prediction of volcanic activity in Kamchatka from seismological data: 2000–2010

Abstract

Seismological Observations in Kamchatka were significantly improved due to the installation of new telemetered seismic stations near active volcanoes and the implementation of modern digital technolo� gies for data transmission, acquisition, and processing in 1996-1998. This qualitative leap forward made it possible, not only to create an effective system for monitoring Kamchatka volcanoes and for timely and reli� able assessment of the state of these volcanoes, but also to draw conclusions about volcanic hazard. The expe� rience that was gained allowed us to make successful shortterm forecasts for eight moderate explosive erup� tions on Bezymyannyi Volcano of the ten that have occurred in 2004-2010, successful intermediateterm forecasts of evolving activity on Klyuchevskoi Volcano in three cases, as well as providing a successful forecast of an explosive eruption on Kizimen Volcano.