Abstract
I analyze how the stance of monetary policy predicts variance risk premia in the currency market. The stance of US monetary policy predicts currency variance risk premia, after controlling for the stance of the foreign currency’s monetary policy. Contractionary US monetary policy predicts lower currency variance risk premia, consistent with an increase in investor risk aversion. In contrast, the stance of the foreign currency’s monetary policy does not predict currency variance risk premia, after controlling for the stance of US monetary policy.
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