Monetary Policy Dynamics and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis of Indonesia's Economy using Time-Series Data and Error Correction Model (ECM)

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between monetary policy variables and GDP growth in Indonesia using time-series data from 1986 to 2021. Employing the Error Correction Model (ECM) framework, the research explores the presence of a long-run relationship among the variables and identifies significant monetary policy instruments that drive economic growth. The findings reveal a robust long-run relationship between monetary policy variables and GDP growth, indicating the sustained impact of monetary policy on Indonesia's economic performance. Specifically, the core finding highlights the significance of the inflation rate, exchange rate, and total reserves as influential monetary policy instruments driving growth in Indonesia. This finding helps policymakers better understanding about the relationship between monetary policy and economic development in the context of Indonesia by offering insightful information. By utilizing an extensive time-series dataset and employing the ECM methodology, this study contributes to the existing literature on the role of monetary policy in shaping economic growth, particularly in Indonesia.