Abstract
Natural Plasmodium vivax malaria infections in man evoke anti-gamete transmission blocking antibodies which influence the infectivity of malaria patients to the vector mosquito. In this study, entomological, immunological and parasitological data obtained through the monitoring of an epidemic of human vivax malaria in Sri Lanka were used in a mathematical simulation to assess the effect of naturally induced transmission blocking immunity on malaria transmission. A mathematical model to describe malaria transmission accounting for transmission blocking immunity was developed from the basic differential equations originally stated by R. Ross and the epidemic was simulated using the available data. An attempt was made to predict the monthly malaria incidence by means of the mathematical simulation, with and without accounting for transmission blocking immunity. A plausible mathematical solution of the epidemic could be obtained when transmission blocking immunity was accounted for, and it was not possible to obtain such a plausible solution in the absence of immunity. Thus, the postulated occurrence of transmission blocking immunity was essential to describe adequately this malaria epidemic, indicating that, at least in epidemic situations, naturally occurring transmission blocking immunity has a controlling influence on malaria incidence.
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