Abstract

•Simulation tools, based on individual tree growth and mortality models can produce the most detailed predictions of forest stand development under different management schedules. These models allow the manager to predict the development of any type of stand (even- and uneven-aged, and pure and mixed stands). • Different model approaches and predictors are required for pure even-aged or mixed uneven-aged forest stands. This study developed and compared two sets of models which enable tree-level simulation of the development of pure and mixed stands of Pinus brutia in north-east Greece. The first set of models for even-aged forestry consists of site index models, diameter growth models, tree height models, and mortality models. The second set, which is for uneven-aged forestry, uses a past growth index instead of a site index. • The simulations and overall fitting statistics suggest that the two types of models provide realistic and accurate predictions of forest stand development and allow one to simulate the development of complex Pinus brutia stand structures in Dadia National Park forests. • The advantages of the two approaches are discussed and it is suggested that the growth index is an effective predictor of site quality and the set of models which used such variable as predictor performed in a similar way as the models using site index, which require more information and a given stand structure (even-aged).

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