Abstract

ABSTRACT Researchers widely use the two-fluid model (TFM) to evaluate the performance of urban networks. However, the TFM is deterministic and does not capture the stochastic relation between speed and density. The present study develops a modified two-fluid model (MTFM). The variance function or the distribution of speed or travel time for a given density is incorporated using a percentile-based indicator, travel time uncertainty (TTU). The percentile-based indicators for the speed distribution are more robust than the variance or other moment-based indicators. The effect of TTU is incorporated using two parameters, and . The applicability of the proposed MTFM is demonstrated using empirical data collected at the corridor and network levels. The TFM and MTFM were calibrated by formulating a nonlinear optimization problem. Based on the investigation using the corridor and network-level data, it was concluded that the MTFM showed better performance than the existing model. .

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