Abstract

Biological variation (BV) has multiple applications in a variety of fields of clinical laboratory. The use of BV in statistical modeling is twofold. On the one hand, some models are used for the generation of BV estimates (within- and between-subject variability). Other models are built based on BV in combination with other factors to establish ranges of normality that will help the clinician interpret serial results for the same subject. There are two types of statistical models for the calculation of BV estimates: A. Direct methods, prospective studies designed to calculate BV estimates; i. Classic model: developed by Harris and Fraser, revised by the Working Group on Biological Variation of the European Federation of Laboratory Medicine. ii. Mixed-effect models. iii. Bayesian model. B. Indirect methods, retrospective studies to derive BV estimates from large databases of results. Big data. Understanding the characteristics of these models is crucial as they determine their applicability in different settings and populations. Models for defining ranges that help in the interpretation of individual serial results include: A. Reference change value and B. Bayesian data network. In summary, this review provides an overview of the models used to define BV components and others for the follow-up of patients. These models should be exploited in the future to personalize and improve the information provided by the clinical laboratory and get the best of the resources available.

Highlights

  • The concept of biological variation (BV) was first formulated by Harris and Fraser in the mid-twentieth century [1]

  • Some models are used for the generation of Biological variation (BV) estimates

  • Within-subject variation is defined as the fluctuation of a measurand around its homeostatic setting point within the same subject, whereas between-subject BV is described as the variation between the homeostatic points of different subjects [1,2,3]

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Summary

Introduction

The concept of biological variation (BV) was first formulated by Harris and Fraser in the mid-twentieth century [1]. The statistical method recommended for the calculation of BV estimates consists of a nested analysis of variance (ANOVA) after a thorough search for outliers at three levels (between duplicates, within subjects and between subjects) This approach is based on the concept that the total variation of all measurements, expressed as coefficient of variation (CVT) is the sum of preanalytical (CVPRE), analytical (CVA) and within-subject BV (CVI). In most of these studies, CVI estimates were obtained by simple subtraction of variances (subtracting the analytical variation from the total observed variation) instead of using a most appropriate statistical method such as ANOVA As a result, these studies have a poorer methodological quality. This model is extremely useful to study BV in nonhomoscedastic measurands that yield a high percentage of outliers that cannot be explained by the information recorded during the study

Indirect methods – Big data
Reference change value
Bayesian data network

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