Abstract

This study aimed at the development of a mathematical model for the evaluation of profitability of safety and health programme in Tobacco industry in Nigeria. A cost function monetary savings/loss in terms of accidents and heath incidences preventions, was developed. Accidents and health incidences for both pre – safety period and safety programme period data were collected. Four classes of accidents were identified as fatal, serious, minor and trivial wounds with their costs determined as N2,455,750, N221,275,N26,780, and N2,000, respectively. Also, seven health incidences were identified as hearing issues, back pain/ache, leg pain/ache, chest pain/ache, neck pain/ache, eye issue and headache with their costs determined as N18,176, N22,987,N8,354, N17,296,N33,305,N14,432 andN12,842, respectively. Accident prevention programme had monetary savings of N40.1 million while about N9.7 million were lost on health incidences annually. The results showed that the safety programme performance indices range from 5.78% in 2002 to 78.92% in 2007.

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