Abstract

Patients with non-small cell lung cancer harbouring mesenchymal-epithelial transition exon 14 (METex14) skipping typically demonstrate poorer prognosis than overall non-small cell lung cancer. Until recently, no targeted treatments were available for patients with non-small cell lung cancer harbouring METex14 skipping in the UK, with limited treatments available. This study estimates the long-term survival and quality-adjusted life-year benefit of MET inhibitor tepotinib versus current standard of care from a UK perspective. A partitioned-survival model assessed the survival and quality-adjusted life-year benefits of tepotinib versus immunotherapy ± chemotherapy and chemotherapy for untreated and previously treated patients, respectively, using evidence from the single-arm VISION trial (NCT02864992). Two approaches were used to inform an indirect treatment comparison: (1) published clinical trials in overall non-small cell lung cancer and (2) real-world evidence in the METex14 skipping population. Results are presented as median and total quality-adjusted life-year gain and survival for progression-free survival and overall survival. Survival curves were validated against the external literature and uncertainty assessed using a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Using the indirect treatment comparison against the published literature, tepotinib is estimated to have a median progression-free survival gain versus pembrolizumab ± chemotherapy (11.0 and 9.2 months) in untreated patients, and docetaxel ± nintedanib (5.1 and 6.4 months) in previously treated patients. Across the populations, tepotinib is estimated to have a median survival gain of 15.4 and 9.2 months versus pembrolizumab ± chemotherapy in untreated patients and 12.8 and 5.1 months versus docetaxel ± nintedanib in previously treated patients. The total quality-adjusted life-year gain ranges between 0.56 and 1.17 across the untreated and previously treated populations. Results from the real-world evidence of indirect treatment comparisons are consistent with these findings. Despite the limitations of the evidence base, the numerous analyses conducted have consistently indicated positive outcomes for tepotinib versus the current standard of care.

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