Abstract
In a sports league such as in a soccer league, the teams’ competition standing is based on a cumulative point system. Typically, the standard point system is given to every single match for win, draw and lose teams is the 3-1-0 point system. In this paper, we explore the effect of changing point systems to teams’ competition standing by changing the weightage values for win, draw and lose teams. Three types of point systems are explored in our soccer simulation model; firstly the 3-1-0, secondly the 2-1-0 and thirdly the 4-1-0 point system. Based on the teams participating in a Malaysian soccer Super League, our simulation result shows that there are small changes in term of teams’ competition standing when we compared the actual rank and the simulation rank position. However, the 4-1-0 point system recorded the highest Pearson correlation value which is 0.97, followed by the 2-1-0 point system (0.95) and thirdly the 3-1-0 point system (0.94).
Highlights
In a sports league such as a soccer league, the cumulative point system is used to figure out the teams’ competition standing
By denoting Xij and Yij to be the number of goals scored in the match between teams indexed i and j, the model for individual match scores is shown below (Xij, Yij) ~ Poisson(∝i βjγ, αjβi) for team i playing at home ~ Poisson(∝i βj, αjβiγ) for team j playing at home where αi measures the attacking strength of the teams, the βj measures the defensive weakness, and γ is allocated for home advantage effects
Works This paper explores the effect of changing point systems in a soccer league, in a Malaysian soccer Super League
Summary
In a sports league such as a soccer league, the cumulative point system is used to figure out the teams’ competition standing. The accumulated points are calculated based on the outcomes of individual match, either win, draw or lose. In a soccer league, the standard point system used is the 3-1-0 point system where 3 points for a winning team, 1 point each for draw and 0 points for a losing team. In group stages of soccer World Cup Finals, The Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) uses the 3-1-0 system. The two teams with the highest cumulative points are qualified to the knockout stages. In soccer leagues in many countries such as in England, Spain, Netherlands, Japan, South Africa, Australia and Malaysia, the 3-1-0 point system is used
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