Abstract

Modelling spatial changes in coastal areas of Samsun (Turkey) using a Cellular Automata-Markov Chain method

Highlights

  • Simulation models are important in determining urban and rural trends and in planning studies [1, 2]

  • The purpose of studies that estimate future land use/land cover (LU/LC) changes and urban expansion is to obtain data that will contribute to the synthesis phase of the planning process, rather than to assert exact predictions concerning the development of a city [6]

  • The urban expansion for the year 2034 in coastal Samsun was simulated using the Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov Chain approach integrated with geographic information systems (GIS) and remote sensing

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Summary

Ozturk

Modeliranje prostornih promjena u priobalnim područjima Samsuna (Turska) primjenom metode Stanični automati-Markovljev lanac. MODELLING SPATIAL CHANGES IN COASTAL AREAS OF SAMSUN (TURKEY) USING A CELLULAR AUTOMATA-MARKOV CHAIN METHOD. The inability to direct development and control growth is destroying natural resources in coastal areas at a rapid pace Determining these trends is the key component for ensuring the protection of natural resources and planned growth. A 30-year urban expansion simulation (2004-2034) was obtained using land use/land cover (LU/LC) data for 1987 and 2004 at Samsun (Turkey) coastal areas and using the Cellular AutomataMarkov Chain (CA-Markov) method. U ovom se radu simulacija 30-godišnjeg urbanog širenja (2004-2034) dobila prema podacima o korištenju zemljišta/izgrađenosti zemljišta - land use/land cover (LU/LC) iz 1987 i 2004 za Samsun, priobalna područja Turske, uz primjenu metode Stanični automati-Markovljev lanac (CA-Markov). Ključne riječi: daljinsko očitavanje; GIS; Markovljev lanac; stanični automati; urbano širenje

Introduction
Study Area
Data and methods
Calculation of transition probabilities and transition areas
Composition of transition-potential layers
Implementation of CA-Markov chain method for urban expansion simulation
Results and Discussion
Conclusion
Full Text
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