Modelling population dynamics of the pelagic larval shrimp Metapenaeus ensis in the Osaka Bay estuary

Abstract

Aiming at providing numerical tools useful to assess the impacts of coastal development pressures on marine life, a Lagrangian model for population dynamics of pelagic eggs and larvae of the greasyback shrimp, Metapenaeus ensis, in Osaka Bay was developed and improved based on laboratory experiments. The model was combined with a 3-D Eulerian numerical model that predicts physical and biological conditions of the habitat. A series of numerical experiments was done to investigate their transport processes from the spawning grounds, and the concentration process of full-grown larvae towards the mouth of Yodo River that flows into the innermost basin. Model results revealed, as a general tendency, that the early larval developmental stages through nauplius to zoea continue to drift like a passive tracer, and begin to concentrate at the river mouth area after the mysis stage, mainly avoiding low saline environment in the surface layer. This suggests that the full-grown larvae may be favored with chance to take advantage of the river-induced gravitational circulation that dominates the innermost estuarine basin. In addition, it was found that tidal condition around the spawning period also exerts a considerable influence upon the fate of pelagic larvae.