Abstract
We introduce a set of models that explain the market phenomenology of Libor forward fixings implied in swap prices. The models are all based on the idea that the Libor fixings refer to a panel of primary banks whose composition may change over time. This effect is crucial to obtain the observed humped forward fixing curves, that could not be otherwise retrieved by a simple credit default model or by a forward interest rate analogy. The models differ only in the assumptions on how the panel composition will change in the future.
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