Abstract

The radial displacement of one or several points of the dam is an important time-varying behaviour indicator and it is a nonlinear function of hydrostatic pressure, temperature and other unexpected unknown causes. Nonlinear system identification is becoming an important tool which can be used to time-varying behaviour modelling of engineering structures. Identification and prediction of complex nonlinear structural behaviour are complex tasks for which non-parametric models are often used. The objective of this study is to develop a neuro-fuzzy identification model to predict the radial displacement of the arch dam. The ANFIS (adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system) models were developed and tested using experimental data collected during 11years. Comparing the values predicted by the ANFIS with the experimental data indicates that soft computing models provide accurate results. These models can be applied for prediction of displacement in further studies.

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